Week 15: Well I’m back home and ‘puter is up an running again. So, I can do a full write up.

At this time of the year the games can get real squirrly. It might be a positive EV to simply pass for the rest of the season, but there are some games that look interesting.

ATL+3 vs. CHI, looks favorable, but doesn’t really meet the criteria for a bet. ATL definitely has a shot. Both teams still have a shot at the playoffs and ATL needs it much more. NO BET: (I might put it in a parlay)

G’Bay +3.5 vs. Baltimore, has G’Bay fallen so low, but Baltimore really sucks. I bet them on the futures at +3 I’ll have some at 3.5 too. BET

AZ -1 vs. HOU, the only thing Houston is competing for is the top draft pick. They only have a reason lose. Of course AZ is that good either. BET

Pit -3 vs. Minn, The loser will probably be out of the playoffs so both teams should play hard. Pit has a definite edge but the overlay is only one and I would prefer 3. If you played the futures last week you should have them at -1 already
NO BET: (I might put it in a parlay)

Philly +3 vs. Rams, ‘puter likes Philly here and it meets the criteria for a bet. BET

T’Bay +3 vs. NE, only two of NE’s wins have came against teams that are still in contention for the playoffs but it is at home. How cold is it? Of course T’Bay has proven they can lose to anybody, but T’Bay definitely wants this game to widen their lead over Carolina. ‘Puter likes ‘em. BET

SEA -7 vs. Titans, only 7 points, I’m putting some money on this, before the line shifts. I expect SEA to play here. They can clinch home field with a win. BET

I guess this weekend will make or break my season. Games can be quite unpredictable here since the playoff standings can mean so much more, and meaningless games are often that.

That said, my picks for Week 15 are:

SEA -7
T’Bay +3
(Wish I had bet the futures at +5)

Who Cares Games :)

Philly +3
AZ -1
G’Bay +3.5

(I'll always buy the .5 point around 3 & 7)

GL

Sarge